I agree. Hypothermia is most dangerous in the 30 to 40 degree range. Water is much easier to manage in the solid state and will even provide some insulation. 35 degrees, a steady drizzle and a stiff wind are VERY dangerous. Push too hard trying to make your miles through the muck and mire and exhaustion exacerbates the situation.
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"In theory, theory and practice are the same. In practice, they are not."
Yogi Berra