Originally Posted By Marc
If I start down a trail and 7589 people just exited that trail unscathed, well I guess I am about to become one of the unlucky few. These scales are obviously all encompassing and unbalanced. Take any wilderness accident situation, be it animal, fall, lost, broken bones, hypothermia, whatever. Now if we remove all of you, who are obviously very knowledgable with considerable experience, from the equation, the danger needle shifts dramatically and 1 out of every 50 backcountry hiker will die. ( statistically speaking ). In the same sense if we ban all teenagers and people over 75 from driving, the highway would be a dramatically safer place ( statistically speaking ). ok ok my point is I believe everything is a 50/50 proposition. 50 percent you and 50 percent unknown. What you do with your half can push the danger needle in either direction. As for me, and to get back on subject, when I go to Yellowstone next year I will be carrying 2 cans of bear spray. If Lori can tell me where to get one as big as a fire hydrant, I will carry that as a spare. I have pulled lint out of my bellybutton that weighed more than a can of bear spray. I just don't see the problem. But then I am totally without any experience.


Your odds of being hurt are the same as anyone else's. It's not like there's some wilderness lottery where you all draw straws and the 5,483,238 customer gets mauled by a bear. It's more like, you flip a coin, 50-50 chance of heads or tails, the next guy flips a coin, he also has a 50-50 chance. You have a very remote chance of being mauled by a bear who's having a bad hair day. So do I. I have a remote chance of having my car vandalized at the trailhead; so do you. There is a far better chance that the car will be vandalized than of a bear deciding to chew on me, however, the property damage is preferable to the hospital stay. So I completely understand your dilemma...

To really and truly decrease your odds of being bitten by a bear, make sure you carry those bear sprays in your hands like drawn guns, the entire time you are out there. They will do nothing for you in a pack pocket and a holster when your adrenalin is sky high will be nearly as difficult. Be very careful to look the bear in the eye before you fire; shooting at a rustle in the bushes may result in a SAR to the nearest hospital for your hiking buddy. laugh
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