Critique my gear list

Headed out on the PCT in a month or so. Wanted to know a 3rd party opinion on my gear set up.
Fire away.

http://lighterpack.com/r/9tvwt8

Are you just section hiking or hiking the whole PCT? If so your starting pretty late.
You may need a beanie or some kind of head insulation.

bear bags are not allowed in many parts of the sierra's. Depending on where you will be you will probably need a bear can for part of the trip.

Thru hiking. Going to be shoot for 25-30 miles per day. I'm going to be packing a balaclava for sleeping/camp chores.

I would say your starting way to late this year, most are already deep in the Sierra, have you looked at any of the PCT trail blogs from this year? You have a pretty long section in southern Ca that is already cooking and pretty dry, most hikers are well past those parts already.

From what I'm seeing online there are actually very few groups who have made it to the Sierras. Yes, the pack is getting close, but they are nowhere 'deep' as in 1000 miles up the trail. Average seems to be around 300-500 miles in.
By doing longer days I figure that I should be able to hit the larger streams and lakes that never go dry, or only do very late in the season. I'm fully prepared to carry 2 1/2 gallons when I need to through most of the southern section.

By late next month, the southern California section will be both very hot and, in this year of horrendous drought, very dry. The water caches will no longer be maintained and most natural sources will have dried up. Are you already in condition to do 30 mile days with all the water you'll have to carry?

There is often plenty of snow in the high Cascades of northern Washington by early October. Some years sooner, some years later, but that's a good average. Many years, people who try to stretch the season into October have been stopped in the middle of Washington.

With a late June start, had you considered going southbound instead (that's about as early as you can start in the North Cascades)?

Your list mostly looks pretty good to me. I'd definitely add a lightweight base layer top and bottoms. Frost and snow can happen any time of year at high altitude, even in midsummer, and certainly by September. While in motion on cool days your shirtsleeves may be too cool but the Nanopuff will be far too warm--an added lightweight baselayer top is (for me) often just right. I'd also be concerned if your quilt and pad (and your balaclava) won't take you down to 20 degrees F.

Yeah the long days between water is what has been worrying me the most about SoCal. I guess a better question is, will there be reliable water sources frequently enough no matter what the drought ends up being like? I feel like as long as I have a lake or stream that is guaranteed to have water I can plan accordingly for the amount of water that I carry between those sources. Thoughts?

I was just in the southern sierra and ran into a lot of PCT hikers, there is a bunch in Kennedy Meadows, and plenty well past. I'll be hiking a section near cottonwood next week and can give you some more info then.

The water in So Ca will not be reliable this year, the drought is in full effect, and isn't likely to change.

If (big if!) the promised El Nino hits, Southern California might get some rain by November, another argument in favor of a southbound hike. Or you can start in the Sierra (which would give you time to get to Canada before the snow flies) and flipflop back to do Southern California last--even if it isn't wetter, it will be a lot cooler.

Yes, I've never considered a SB hike, you make a compelling argument for it.